ACUS11 KWNS 260332
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 260331=20
TXZ000-260500-

Mesoscale Discussion 0541
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1031 PM CDT Sat Apr 25 2026

Areas affected...north-central Texas

Concerning...Severe potential...Tornado Watch likely=20

Valid 260331Z - 260500Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent

SUMMARY...A mature supercell continues to track southward in WW144.
A new watch will likely be needed soon.

DISCUSSION...A mature supercell with a history of tornadoes and hail
up to baseball size continues to track southeast near the Ft. Worth
area. This supercell will likely continue given the favorable very
unstable and highly sheared environment across central/eastern
Texas. VAD profiles from KFWS show 0-1km SRH around 350 m2/s2 with
large clock-wise curvature in the low levels. The threat for large
to very large hail and tornadoes will continue with this storm. A
new watch will likely be needed to replace portions of WW144 and
extend further south.

..Thornton/Leitman.. 04/26/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!_SkXPtfzmK7XNyin8gizau8mrgim8Lj-S554gsJWIszT_afAFcZVchoBw3kkhgwtAtLK7dPY5= AZH8fr4kNSBVjrpH40$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...SHV...FWD...

LAT...LON 31999695 32159743 32509787 33029795 33089789 33289747
33379701 33419639 33359572 33179536 32759529 32169546
31999612 31909664 31999695=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...120-145 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.75-4.25 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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