• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0536

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/107 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sun Apr 26 01:03:23 2026
    ACUS11 KWNS 260103
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 260103=20
    TXZ000-260200-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0536
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0803 PM CDT Sat Apr 25 2026

    Areas affected...north-central Texas

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 144...

    Valid 260103Z - 260200Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 144 continues.

    SUMMARY...Tornado threat to continue over the next couple of hours
    with a mature supercell across north-central Texas.

    DISCUSSION...A mature supercell continues to move southeastward
    across north-central Texas across Jack County. This cell has a
    history of producing multiple tornadoes and very large hail (up to 3
    inches in diameter). Modifying the hodograph from KFDR earlier and
    now from KFWS would suggest that the southeastward storm motion is
    contributing to around 200-250 m2/s2 0-1 km SRH. This storm is also
    moving within a volatile thermodynamic environment, with MLCAPE
    around 3000 J/kg and dew points in the upper 60s in a broad swath
    ahead of this storm. Radar presence continues to show a strong
    mid-level mesocyclone. It is likely that this supercell will
    continue to pose a risk for tornadoes, with potential for a strong
    tornado. Large hail (some 2-4 inches in diameter) will also remain a
    threat.

    ..Thornton.. 04/26/2026

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!92cUaBP5W5Bv39h_8aDVw0YvB6cpQSP6rZhfqys9mwSfRiotIfRFs1RE8elcs878nar8xeRSZ= Z0wwiXqIipN4Vg1Hpg$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...

    LAT...LON 33609783 33579809 33469825 33059819 32829795 32799759
    32839748 32919728 33159696 33419703 33539721 33619755
    33609783=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...120-145 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.75-4.25 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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