ABNT20 KNHC 261116
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Aug 26 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Fernand, located over the central Atlantic.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Berg
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ABNT20 KNHC 281118
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Aug 28 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on
Post-Tropical Cyclone Fernand, located over the central Atlantic.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave is forecast to emerge off the west coast of Africa
on Sunday. Thereafter, environmental conditions could support some
slow development of this system while it moves westward to
west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph, moving across the eastern and
central tropical Atlantic next week.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
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ABNT20 KNHC 291140
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Aug 29 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave is forecast to emerge off the west coast of Africa
on Sunday. Thereafter, environmental conditions could support some
slow development of this system while it moves westward to
west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central
tropical Atlantic next week.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven
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ABNT20 KNHC 301137
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat Aug 30 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave is forecast to emerge off the west coast of Africa
on Sunday. Thereafter, environmental conditions could support some
slow development of this system while it moves westward to
west-northwestward at around 15 mph across the eastern and central
tropical Atlantic next week.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven
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ABNT20 KNHC 311141
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Aug 31 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave is about emerge off of the west coast of Africa.
Environmental conditions are conducive for slow development of this
system while it moves westward to west-northwestward at around 15
mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic this week.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven
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ABNT20 KNHC 011137
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Sep 1 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located over the far eastern tropical Atlantic is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental
conditions appear conducive for slow development of this system, and
a tropical depression could form later this week or next weekend.
This system is expected to move westward to west-northwestward at
around 15 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic
throughout the week.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven
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ABNT20 KNHC 021126
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Sep 2 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located over the far eastern tropical Atlantic south
of the Cabo Verde islands is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
gradual development of this system during the next several days, and
a tropical depression is likely to form later this week or this
weekend. This system is expected to move westward to
west-northwestward at around 15 mph across the eastern and central
tropical Atlantic through the weekend.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown
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ABNT20 KNHC 031121
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Sep 3 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located over the eastern tropical Atlantic a few
hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde islands continues to
produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental
conditions remain conducive for gradual development of this system
during the next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to
form late this week or this weekend. This system is expected to
move westward to west-northwestward at around 15 mph across the
eastern and central tropical Atlantic into early next week.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Hagen
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ABNT20 KNHC 041124
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Sep 4 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical Atlantic:
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located
over the eastern tropical Atlantic several hundred miles
west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands have started to consolidate
and become slightly better organized. Environmental conditions are
conducive for development of this system during the next several
days, and a tropical depression is likely to form late this week or
this weekend over central tropical Atlantic while moving slowly
toward the west-northwest at 5 to 10 mph. The system is likely to
move faster toward the west or west-northwest thereafter and reach
the waters east of the Lesser Antilles by the middle of next week.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

$$
Forecaster Kelly
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ABNT20 KNHC 051132
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Sep 5 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical Atlantic (AL91):
A broad area of low pressure over the eastern tropical Atlantic,
associated with a tropical wave, is producing a disorganized area of
showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are favorable
for development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely
to form over the weekend or early next week as it moves slowly
westward at 5 to 10 mph across the central tropical Atlantic. This
system is likely to be near the Lesser Antilles by the middle to
latter part of next week, and interests there should monitor its
progress.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

$$
Forecaster Hagen
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ABNT20 KNHC 061139
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat Sep 6 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical Atlantic (AL91):
A tropical wave over the central tropical Atlantic is producing a
small area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental
conditions are only marginally conducive for development, and the
chances of this system becoming a tropical depression are
decreasing. The wave is expected to move generally westward at 10
to 15 mph, and will likely be near the Lesser Antilles by the middle
part of next week. Interests there should monitor its progress.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Roberts/Pasch
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ABNT20 KNHC 071124
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Sep 7 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Berg
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ABNT20 KNHC 081118
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Sep 8 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Kelly
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ABNT20 KNHC 101132
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Sep 10 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Blake
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