ACUS11 KWNS 082044
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 082043=20 VAZ000-TNZ000-NCZ000-KYZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-ILZ000-082215-

Mesoscale Discussion 0746
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0343 PM CDT Thu May 08 2025

Areas affected...the Tennessee Valley Vicinity

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 238...239...240...

Valid 082043Z - 082215Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 238, 239,
240 continues.

SUMMARY...The ongoing large hail/damaging wind threat will continue
through the late afternoon and into the evening.

DISCUSSION...A broad region of moderate instability and moderate
shear is present from central Kentucky southward into northeast
Mississippi to the Appalachians. Within this area, multiple
supercells have developed with reports of 1 to 2 inch hail. The
environment across the region remains favorable through the
remainder of the afternoon and into the evening. Therefore, ongoing
supercells will likely continue with additional development also
possible. The threat has been mostly hail thus far given the more
discrete mode. However, as storms coverage increases, expect
clusters and potential bowing line segments to develop. This would
result in a greater damaging wind threat this evening.

..Bentley.. 05/08/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!4hZBjiIDY88EerEGTAojN4tpV0-mxgILRBYXZT5tQRQNTuGxPrruDFg642YBR7_3ZSTRumUjf= 5xpA2zKcadOrvglH8U$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...GSP...MRX...JKL...FFC...LMK...OHX...BMX...HUN... PAH...MEG...JAN...

LAT...LON 37218873 37548694 37238374 36678264 35018359 33768650
33308881 33258949 33438960 35048899 37218873=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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