ACUS11 KWNS 302007
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 302007=20
WVZ000-KYZ000-TNZ000-302200-

Mesoscale Discussion 0623
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0307 PM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025

Areas affected...Eastern Kentucky

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 302007Z - 302200Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Isolated damaging winds and potentially marginally severe
hail may occur with the strongest storms. A watch is not likely this
afternoon.

DISCUSSION...A very moist airmass (mid/upper 60s F dewpoints) is in
place in the Upper Ohio Valley vicinity. On the southern fringe of a
belt of stronger mid-level flow, effective shear is a modest 25-30
kts. Around 1500 J/kg MLCAPE will promote a few stronger to
marginally severe storms. Low-level lapse rates are steep and
damaging winds are the primary threat. Mid-level lapse rates
(sampled by this mornings soundings) are modest. Small to perhaps
isolated, marginally severe hail may occur with the strongest
storms.

..Wendt/Hart.. 04/30/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!-4sQL_ew7gY7D0jQm5z-9MNC85xGOgEvxWXAQlNE0SJmysixy33MfNoS5CSosRYaossoc1rlV= X5pGzerXLDF2Ql65og$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...RLX...MRX...JKL...LMK...

LAT...LON 37518517 38178451 38358349 38128257 37748218 37448242
36718337 36558413 36898486 37518517=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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