ACUS11 KWNS 292055
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 292055=20
TXZ000-292230-

Mesoscale Discussion 0608
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0355 PM CDT Tue Apr 29 2025

Areas affected...Portions of South Plains into western North Texas

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 190...

Valid 292055Z - 292230Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 190
continues.

SUMMARY...A localized corridor of tornado potential may develop over
the next few hours. Storms will need to root along/east of the
surface boundary for this potential to be realized.

DISCUSSION...A cluster of supercells, some of which have produced
greater than 2 inch hail, are generally rooted just on the cool side
of the surface cold front. If storms can remain discrete and track
with a more eastward motion, warm/moist easterly surface winds are
in the warm sector. Greater tornado potential would exist should
that scenario occur. Given at least a modest increase in low-level
flow this evening, it is possible the boundary moves slightly
northwestward. Trends will be monitored.

..Wendt.. 04/29/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!5AYlbqdKLFNJqZXBgv_jfWOcB_XfWn0uzPwtkMwefWhh_WWMHrheFEFztn0BBrOKmDaDvnmoy= QbH6F8vBbFy5eqMNrI$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...LUB...MAF...

LAT...LON 32970169 33450131 34009979 33919933 33549957 32970034
32870105 32970169=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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